Underdeveloped Laos believes hydropower is its ticket to economic advancement but taming the Mekong River involves more than engineering
By Jennifer Khoo
The mighty Mekong river runs through the heart of Laos. For one of the poorest countries in Southeast Asia, landlocked and encircled by great economic powers, the river is key to its development.
Despite an average annual growth rate of about 8 percent, Laos has yet to fully tap the river as a resource that could help shape a vibrant economic future. The river shapes much about this country. It helps form the country’s borders with Myanmar, Thailand and Cambodia. The Mekong is also the sole source of a meager income for many in a country where agriculture accounts for more than 20 percent of gross domestic product and employs around 80 percent of the population.
The economy has long been buoyed by exports of natural resources and by foreign direct investment in the mining of copper and gold, in logging and in construction projects. Now, direct access to the largest share of the waters of the Mekong among the countries the river flows through has led the Laotian government to pick hydropower as its preferred driver of economic growth.
Nam Ngum Reservoir in Laos
Galvanized by the skyrocketing growth of its fellow ASEAN members, Laos has been vocal about its hydropower ambitions, and about becoming the “battery of Southeast Asia.” Over the past decade, private investors and developers of the hydropower industry have flowed into the country to cooperate with the government, which has commissioned the construction of several dams along the Mekong.
A typical Laotian rural village
Hydropower is currently the main source of electricity in Laos. The government hopes selling some of this sustainably generated electricity to neighbors Vietnam and Thailand will improve the economic position of the country.
Harnessing the Mekong and other rivers in Laos creates potential for immense electricity generation – up to 18,000 megawatts, reports say. To put that into perspective, the country already operates about 20 hydropower plants with a combined capacity of 3,000 megawatts.
One of these, Nam Theun 2 (NT2), is a large plant that began operating in 2010. It is widely expected to generate US$2 billion in revenue over a 20-year period. The people of Laos have already begun to feel the benefits of revenue from NT2, which has been spent on improving living conditions, healthcare, education and accessibility in poor, remote areas.
Revenue has also been spent on the protection and conservation of natural areas of the countryside. The Laotian government has commissioned 40 to 50 more hydropower plants which are due to begin operating by 2025.
Revenue is necessary for economic growth and the mushrooming hydropower plants are securing generous inflows for the government. The problem is that the hydropower projects are inadequately regulated, and most developers show little commitment to responsible environmental or social practices.
Often, more than one project is undertaken on the same river, or in the vicinity of mines or irrigation schemes that vie for the same water, resulting in pollution and harm to ecosystems.
The boom in hydropower has failed to create much employment for Laotians, who often lack job skills and basic education – especially those in the countryside, where about 70 percent of the population lives. Many people lack access to adequate basics such as education, healthcare, clean water and plumbing. Infrastructure in the country is also severely underdeveloped.
The road network is basic – though improving – and the landline telecommunication system is limited. These shortcomings are hardly conducive to extensive business operations. The government has taken steps towards improving its management of water resources. In 2011 it established the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment, so putting the management of natural resources under a single authority for the first time.
Several development institutions, including the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, are helping the government improve its ability to manage natural resources sustainably. This will include the expansion and preservation of forest cover, the adoption of safer and better practices in mining, and the mitigation of harm done by the hydropower industry.
The bigger picture
Exploiting its natural resources is easy for Laos as long as its natural resources are available. But genuinely sustainable progress will be made only when the government takes a more holistic approach to economic growth.
Laos has an accumulated fiscal deficit equivalent to 3.5 percent of GDP in the past five years, shrinking foreign currency reserves and growing public-sector debt. Sluggish recovery of the global economy in general – and the Chinese economy in particular – has driven down the prices of minerals Laos exports.
As well as managing its finances and bringing stability to the financial sector, the government needs to invest in the health and education of its people, and create opportunities outside the resources sector for the 900,000 young workers due to join the labor force in the next decade.
Attention in greater detail to the macroeconomy will pave the way toward stronger, more sustainable and more inclusive growth.